TAMPA, FLORIDA - JANUARY 23: Matthew Stafford #9 of the Los Angeles Rams warms up before the game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFC Divisional Playoff game at Raymond James Stadium on January 23, 2022 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

The Road to SoFi is paved here.

This is almost it for the season folks.  

It’s been a fun season hopefully you’ve been following our picks and having fun with them all season.

Let’s get right into it.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals (AFC Championship at GEHA Field at Arrowhead in KC, MO)

There’s a 7 point spread for this match up with the Chiefs favored.  The Over Under is 54.5 points.  Expect lots of offense in the game as both teams are coming in averaging about 400 yards of offense andboth teams average well over 20 points a game. 

After struggling coming out of the gate and some folks thinking that the magic of Patrick Mahomes being gone, Kansas City finished the season strong, and is now hosting the AFC Championship and is one game away from a third straight Super Bowl appearance.

Cincinatti is playing with house money as they have arrived to the dance earlier than expected.  Joe Burrow is the real deal, and he’s got weapons in Jamaar Chase, Tyler Boyd, and Tee Higgins as his  wideouts and a solid runner in Joe Mixon. 

Sunday in Kansas City I expect the Bengals magic carpet ride to end.  Pat Mahomes and the KC offense is on fire under the play calling genius of Eric Bieniemy who should be lined up for six coaching interviews but I believe unfortunately that we will be discussing diversity in NFL coaching or lack there of again this off-season.   I have the Chiefs winning and covering the seven points.  I don’t feel confident about the over under in either direction so I would not bet on it in this game.

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers (NFC Championship at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA)

The 49ers have beaten the Rams six straight times.   With two wins coming this regular season as the teams are division rivals, and the last being the season finale where the 49ers erased a 17-3 deficit to come back and win.   My keys for this game are the Rams running game. 

Cam Akers was not available in either of the regular season match ups.  When the Rams had Todd Girlie and a strong running attack they had a successful stretch against San Francisco. The Rams need to get Akers going in this one.  

Also in the first meeting it was OBJ’s first game with the Rams, and he only got 5 targets in the season finale loss.  OBJ needs to be a major factor if the Rams are going to get by their Division rival. If the game is a grind it out ground and pound defensive battle, advantage San Francisco.

If LA can score early and make it a track meet and keep their feet on the gas, that favors the Rams. The game has a 3.5 point spread, and a 45.5 point over under. 

I expect this will mostly be a defensive battle and the Over under will not reach 45, so bet the under.  Based on due theory, the Rams after losing six times to San Fran is just due for a win, their roster is loaded at several positions. 

Their talent should be able to get them out of this round and to a home game Super Bowl. 

The Rams willingness to mortgage the future for a chance at a Super Bowl win I believe pays off this weekend.

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